Argentina vs Croatia Predictions, Odds, and Picks: World Cup 2022
Argentina and Croatia needed to win the penalty shootout to advance.
Croatia will likely set up in a similar defensive fashion to stifle Argentina.
I anticipate Argentina to win if they can avoid going to a penalty shootout.
Argentina and Croatia edged past their opponents via penalty kicks to advance to the 2022 FIFA World Cup semifinals.
Argentina survived a late flurry of goals to beat the Netherlands, while Croatia did all the right things to win against tournament favourites Brazil.
Will Lionel Messi or Luca Modric inspire their nation to the final? Or could the team's two goalkeepers be the ones to help them move forward again?
Argentina vs Croatia, World Cup:
The winning team model predicts that Croatia will win this quarterfinal match with 40% confidence. The model predicts a 24% tie/draw probability in regulation time.
Argentina vs Croatia Odds, Winners, Over/Under
Match result: Argentina (-125) | Draw (+230) | Croatia (+380)
Draw without bet: Argentina (-350) | Croatia (+230)
Over/Under goals: Over 2.5 (+135) | Less than 2.5 (-190)
Information about the match Argentina vs Croatia
World Cup 2022 — Semifinals
Date: Tuesday, December 13
Time: 2:00 p.m. m. Eastern Time
Venue: Lusail Stadium, Qatar
Coverage: FOX, Telemundo
Analysis Argentina vs Croatia
Argentina's match against the Netherlands summed up this year's World Cup's chaotic, surprising and unpredictable nature.
La Albiceleste seemed destined for the semifinals when they ended up 2-0 with 15 minutes to play. However, Wout Weghorst had other ideas, and his late goal forced the match into extra time and, eventually, another penalty shootout.
What will remember the game more for the mass brawls, poor play and the 17 yellow cards handed out than for any spectacular football? Still, Argentina was supervised to win, thanks to two excellent saves by Emiliano Martínez.
Lionel Scaloni could make a tactical change if Ángel Di María is fit. He set his team up with a defence of five against the Netherlands but could use a little more attacking power given the way Croatia will play defence.
Full-backs Marcos Acuña and Gonzalo Montiel are suspended. So wait for Nicolás Tagliafico on the left and Nahuel Molina on the right.
Argentina has scored two goals in their last four games. However, he ran into the rear of Croatia, who managed to chain a Brazilian team thrashing without goals.
Honestly, I didn't expect Croatia to still be here at this tournament stage, but they managed to stifle Brazil's creative flair and take the game to penalties, which is their greatest strength.
The defensive possession masterclass of Marcelo Brozovic, Luka Modric and Mateo Kovacic in midfield could be just as effective against Argentina. I hope Zlatko Dalić sticks to this successful formula to try and cut through the line-breaking passes Argentina likes to deliver from midfield.
Croatia has gone to extra time in five of their last six World Cup appearances, and I expect this game to go the same way. Argentina doesn't look particularly inspired in the final third, but Lionel Messi's brilliance is never worth overlooking.
This Argentina team is aggressive and not known for their sportsmanship, and they could use this to get under Croatia's skin.
I expect them to win if Argentina can prevent the game from going to penalties. Still, if it comes down to a shootout, Croatia goalkeeper Dominik Livakovic will likely be his nation's saviour again.
Odds for the result of the match between Argentina and Croatia
Match result: Argentina (-125)
Draw without bet: Argentina (-350)
Over/Under goals: Under 2.5 (-190)
Argentina or Draw and Under 1.5 Goals: (+220)
Lionel Messi to score at any time: (+125)
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